Saturday, October 27, 2018

Wintry Weather in Week 2?

GFS isn't showing it.  The Euro isn't showing it.  But it looks to me like conditions may be right for some wintry weather in our area starting next weekend.

Let's start with the surface map for Friday morning, November 2nd:


That low to our south looks to be a slow mover on Friday and Saturday.  Depending on how it ultimately tracks, it could produce some snow in the upper Midwest on Friday night. 

There are plenty of indications that we'll have a sufficient cold pocket in place to support snow over a 7-10 day period, starting with that low on Friday.

There's the Euro ensemble throwing down cold...


GFS showing anomalous cold in the middle part of the country...


The CFS weekly with troughiness in the middle of the country for the 11/3-10 period...


And the day 10 GFS showing a clear path for low pressure systems out of the Gulf of Alaska to make their way to the center of the country...


All of these indicators of cold and energy would suggest the possibility of wintry weather.  It's far too early to get more specific than that, but now you know what I'll be watching for over the next several days!

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