Q&A: Sunday Storm

So, anyone have any suggestions for a new hobby?  This one is killing me.

I'm going to try to anticipate and answer your questions about the Sunday/Sunday night storm.  Here we go...

Q: How much snow we gonna get?

A: Wow, you skipped right past the foreplay and went right in...

Q: Blah blah blah. What do the models say?

A: Here's the graphic:

Q: Why are they all different?

A: If they were all the same, we'd only have one model and a bunch of models would be out of a job. Like Melania.

The models are starting to agree on a couple of things:

• A later-arriving, slower-moving storm.  Slower pace means snow could pile up where it does fall, and in those spots, have a greater impact on Monday morning commute.
• A more compact precipitation field.  Oddly, the storm tracks on most of these models are very favorable for heavier snows in southern Wisconsin, but the snow gradients are really tight.

Q: Wait, your prediction isn't on there. Chicken?

A:  It's at the bottom of the post. 

Q:  Okay, which model should we trust?

A:  The correct one.  Alternatively, NAM.

Q:  What could still change?

A:  High pressure to the southeast could kick our storm farther northwest, or the track could flatten out and go completely zonal, or equatorial sea surface temperatures could suddenly cool, or a negative North Atlantic Oscillation could...

Q:  You lost me.

A:  No worries, I don't even understand negative NAO.

But seriously, the slightest movement to the north in the storm track, or a wider precipitation field, will make a big difference.

Q:  Exactly when will snow start and end in my backyard?

A:  I have no idea where your backyard is.  Ask me on Facebook.

Q:  Will schools be closed Monday?

A:  Probably not in Dane County.  Possibly southern Green.  More likely to the east and southeast. 

Also, wasn't that Melania joke funny?

Q:  Seriously, how much snow?

A:  Okay, here's the completed chart.

 
Q:  Shit!

A:  Disclaimer: still subject to change, snow lovers.  30 miles could turn this forecast upside down.

Q:  So, where should I go if I really want to see a shit-ton of snow?

A:  Elgin, Illinois would be a good bet.  No I-Pass?  Try Lake Geneva.
 
Q:  Will it be windy and cold too?

A:  First windy, then cold. 

Q:  Cool. When's the next storm after that?

A:  In December.

I'll be the first to let you know if anything changes!!